Thursday, June 25, 2009

What happened to...Moneyball?

To get caught up on what exactly "Moneyball" is and the drama that occurred this week, go here to find out.

Genre: Sports Bio
Premise: A general manager with the lowest payroll in baseball invents a new way of scouting involving little-known but very powerful statistics.
About: Based on a true story. Adapted from the book by Michael Lewis. Moneyball came to the attention of everyone when Sony Exec Amy Pascal shut down the movie 3 days before the start of production due to Soderbergh's rewrite of the script (episode of Entourage anyone?)
Writers: Steven Zaillian (Dec. Draft)- Steven Soderbergh (June shooting draft) -- Edit: I thought I'd mention this because people keep bringing it up. There is a May Zaillian draft that I've been told is quite different from the December draft I read. Some of the things I liked in that Dec. draft were missing from Zaillian's subsequent draft (meaning it wasn't Soderbergh's sole choice to get rid of them).


Do you know the kind of balls it takes to shut down the production of a Brad Pitt movie? When Brad Pitt says he'll do your movie, 20 million dollars or not, he's doing *you* a favor. And it's not like Pitt hasn't picked up and walked off on a whim before. Anybody remember The Fountain? - And that was before he met the baby buyer. Nowadays Brad goes out for groceries and he comes home to two more kids. So the fact that Amy Pascal, Chairman of Sony Studios, halted production on Moneyball upon reading the most recent draft by Soderbergh is a BFD. The question is, what happened? Well, we all know Soderbergh has a seriously off-kilter approach to directing. Given some room, he'll turn your straightforward sports tale into a series of flashbacks and flashforwards with Spanish subtitles and 97 minutes of voice over. Lucky for you, Scriptshadow's got both drafts and will get to the bottom of this mess. Did Soderbergh destroy Moneyball? Did Pascal overreact? Read on to find out.

STEVEN ZAILLIAN DRAFT

Baseball is a game of numbers. No other sport in the world depends more on numbers than baseball . From singles to doubles to home runs to RBIs to errors to batting averages to slugging percentages to on-base percentages, the sport *is* its numbers. And it's those numbers that form the nucleus of Moneyball's story.


I'm sure when I say the name Billy Beane, it doesn't mean much to you. But you say the name Billy Beane in baseball circles, and it means a hell of a damn lot. Billy Beane is the general manager of the Oakland A's. The Oakland A's are one of the smallest markets in Major League Baseball. To give you an idea of how small, the Yankees payroll is 120 million dollars. The A's payroll? 40 million. Do the math. So the question is: How do you compete in a league where every other team has at least twice as much money as you do?

Billy is a complicated man. He loves the grind but hates watching the fruits of his labor. Billy doesn't travel with the team. He doesn't watch the games. He doesn't like any of the players. All he cares about is putting together a team that wins. Unfortunately, his 40 million dollar payroll has made that next to impossible. Early on, Billy is with his girlfriend, getting ready to escape to a tropical island. But Billy gets a call on his cell, and that call leads to a few more calls, and the next thing you know, a trade is going down. He smiles politely to his girlfriend, hands her his ticket, and says, "Go ahead. I'll meet you there in a few days." And leaves! It's the perfect introduction to Billy because that action, that sequence, tells us exactly who he is.

You see, Billy just lost the three best players on his team and has been told by his owner that he's only got a few million bucks to replace them. So Billy heads off to another tropical paradise, Cleveland, to discuss some trades with the GM of the Indians, Mark Shapiro. Billy is particularly interested in a player named "Rincon", someone so low on Shapiro's radar that he barely recognizes the name. After Shapiro agrees in principle to a trade, a previously unseen nerdy 20-something on a laptop walks over and whispers into Shapiro's ear. He slinks back to the couch and Shapiro calmly turns to Billy, "I'm sorry, you can't have Rincon." Billy spins back and glares at this mystery kid. "Who the fuck are you??" his eyes say. But the kid is already back to his computer. This kid's name is Paul.

Billy corners Paul outside the building and demands to know what the hell he told Shapiro. The argument turns into dinner, and Paul lays out his approach to baseball. He's calculated every single statistic known to baseball and only one is inexorably tied to winning: On-base percentage. Since everyone else is obsessed with home runs and RBIs, this stat has been relatively ignored. Paul believes that if you create a team full of only players with high on-base percentages (A stat so insignificant that you could get the players for dirt cheap) you could theoretically win all the time. Billy thinks Paul might be crazy, but he's up shit creek anyway, so he hires him.

Billy and Paul then apply this untested strategy in the face of years of baseball experience. The idea that you can look at a spreadsheet, and not at the player himself, when putting together a team, causes all sorts of drama inside the A's organization. Essentially, Billy assembles a rag-tag motley crew of rejects with high on-base percentages. When Oakland quickly falls into last place, the drama only gets worse. But the stubborn Billy and Paul stick together, and in the end their faith pays off, as Oakland ends the season with a 20-game win streak, the single longest win-streak in American League history.

The only problem with the script is that it gets too wrapped up in its details, too wrapped up in its numbers. We follow the A's through an entire season and, not unlike keeping tabs on a real baseball season, it's hard to stay focused. Late in the script I was myself asking that age old question: What's driving the story? The best I could come up with is: the curiosity of whether the stats system is going to work. But in that black hole where stories go to die known as the second half of the second act, there isn't enough to remind us of this - to keep us focused - and the story loses some luster as a result. The question is, did Soderbergh address this issue in his rewrite and, more importantly, what else did he address? We'll talk about that in a second. But in regards to Zaillian's draft, I'm going to recommend the read. Sure it wandered. But I've always been fascinated by the jobs of General Managers, and this gave me some great insight into their world.

[ ] trash
[ ] barely kept my interest
[x] worth the read
[ ] impressive
[ ] genius

Script Link: Moneyball (link taken down by request)

SODERBERGH DRAFT (dated 6-22-09)
note: Bad news. I cannot post this draft. It's got Sony markings all over it and you'll just have to trust me when I say it wouldn't be a good idea.

So was it *that* bad? I mean, studios go into production all the time with terrible scripts. Particularly when huge actors like Pitt are involved. So what made Pascal put her foot down? What made her embark on a decision that would taint the project from now til release? I'll tell you what. A bad script. Soderbergh really screwed this up. Moneyball wasn't Chinatown, but at least it was a story. Soderbergh's turned it into a mishmash of ideas in search of a point. It's like he yanked the sail off the boat and let us drift out to sea.

It's hard to point to any one change that ruined the script, but there are several troublesome choices that were made. Remember that early scene where Billy leaves his girlfriend at the airport? That scene told us everything we needed to know about who we'd be following for the next two hours. What does Soderbergh do instead? He has Billy meet Paul in one of the most basic, uninteresting introductions to two characters I've seen in a long time. The two stand around and proceed to tell us (er, I mean each other) exactly who they are.
[scrippet]
BILLY
JP said you're the guy I should be talking to.

PAUL
JP is great.

BILLY
JP is great. He said you just got promoted.

PAUL
Yeah, I was advance scouting and I was just made Special Assistant to the GM.

BILLY
Well, Cleveland's a monster franchise. I think John Hart and Mark Shapiro are super smart. They got a good thing going.

PAUL
I have to say, it's nice knowing at the beginning of the year that you're probably going to the playoffs.

BILLY
I'll bet.

PAUL
I hear you're extended.

BILLY
Yeah, four years. It's good, you know. I can watch things happen. And we're close to getting a new stadium.

PAUL
Which you need.

BILLY
Which we definitely need. So let me ask you. Can you work spreadsheets and all that stuff, like Excel? Can you manage a payroll?

PAUL
Yeah.

BILLY
Great, because I suck at that...
[/scrippet]
Yes, instead of that great scene where the mysterious Paul walks up and whispers into Shapiro's ear, we now get, "So let me ask you: can you work spreadsheets and all that stuff?"


The draft was an Exposition Empire, with characters blurting out all sorts of things we needed to know without a hint of subtlety. I kept thinking I was at a museum listening to a tour guide, "And here we have Billy. Billy has discovered a secret set of numbers. He will now try to apply them to his team and hopefully win in the process." All the fun from the first draft is gone here. The dramatization. The subtext. It's vanished, not unlike the Montreal Expos.

Also gone are most of Billy's scenes with his daughter, the only true relationship with another human being he has, and therefore the only thing that humanizes him - Billy's drifting from woman to woman (Although there's only scarce mention of it - he appears to be married in Soderbergh's version), the flashbacks of Billy as a player (replaced by interviews with real people who played with Billy) and that feeling of, "Billy and Paul against the world," stemming from their unique system and how it flies in the face of 150 years of baseball - probably the most exciting part of the story.

But the biggest faux-pas is the handling of the all-important "on-base percentage" stat. This is what the A's figured out that everybody else ignored - the hidden statistic that was the key to their success. It's what allows them to compete with half the salary of all the other teams. This is the movie. Yet here it's treated like an afterthought. In fact, I couldn't even tell you what the A's secret to success was in Soderbergh's draft. It's implied that there's a spreadsheet involved but the explanation stops there. A spreadsheet of never-explained numbers? That's how the team wins? That's your hook for the movie?

Look, Soderbergh is the kind of director that likes to find his movies in the editing room. Shoot a bunch of stuff, see what sticks. If something doesn't connect logically , throw some voiceover in there and add a little score. That seems to be his plan of attack with Moneyball. I don't know what the final movie would look like so I couldn't definitively tell you if he would of salvaged this, but I do know he turned a solid script into an incomprehensible mess. And that's why his movie was shut down.

[x] a mess
[ ] barely kept my interest
[ ] worth the read
[ ] impressive
[ ] genius

What I learned: Don't write a sports movie. They're too difficult to write. If the team ends up winning in the end, it feels overly-sappy and cliche. If you go with a grittier more realistic approach, it comes off as boring and self-important. Lose-lose. If you must ignore my advice, go with either a boxing movie or a true story (like this one). But just know that writing a good sports movie is RFH (really fucking hard) and selling one is even harder. Take my advice and don't do it.





30 comments:

Lumi said...

I don't care whether it was Zillian's script or Soderberg's script that got made, this movie would have sucked so fucking hard. Good for Pascal to shut this garbage down, I mean really does anyone here except die hard baseball fans think this movie would have made any money? Pitt must have been smoking some Sherm to commit to this nonsense.

justin said...

Lumi-

You need to read Zaillian's draft. It's very good and the movie wouldn't have 'sucked so fucking hard' at all.

Anonymous said...

Congrats, Lumi. That mindset is exactly the kind of thing fucking up movies these days. It's why Transformers gets made and Confederacy of Dunces does not.

Who gives a shit if it would've made money? Most of Soderbergh's movies don't make money. He's a fucking artist, which is more than I can say for most Hollywood directors. Che, The Limey, Bubble, Girlfriend Experience...none of them made money, all of them are better than anything Michael Bay has ever made.

Carson Reeves said...

I'm hearing that both Paramount and Warner Brothers chose not to pick up Moneyball. Dude, just go back to the original script. It was good.

Anonymous said...

There wasn't a hint of subtlety? Damn. I fucking love subtlety!

Milan said...

Yeah, I read the news too a few days ago that Paramount and WB aren't interested in taking over "Moneyball".

Sonderbergh should try it at Fox Searchlight (which is a great studio - not like 20th Century Fox) or a other independent studio.

Cash Bailey said...

Brad Pitt's a fussy bastard.

His involvement can make or break a production even though his actual box office successes can probably be counted on one hand.

Carson Reeves said...

It's true. Brad Pitt is the biggest movie star that doesn't guarantee success.

Archie said...

This film was Brad Pitt's project. He was the one who brought Soderbergh on to direct.

It's currently out to another film company who have agreed to take Moneyball if they shave about 10 million dollars off the 50 million dollar budget.

The thing is that no one in Hollywood really cares how bad the Soderbergh script is on the page. The reason the film got yanked was not because of the quality of the script but because Soderbergh on Thursday delivered a completely different script than the one they had been prepping for a month.

Sony had spent 10 million dollars on prepping the Zaillian script and the trucks were on the road driving to the location. Now they had a completely new script to prep, no time and probably no desire to put the crew on hold and spend another 5-10 million dollars on prep.

Scripts don't matter -- accounting matters.

LindaM said...

Very, very interesting analysis. Thanks! Wish I could read the scripts.

Joshua James said...

Damn, missed it, got here too late!

Great analysis, though.

Steve the Creep said...

Seems odd. You could take the first script and give it that Oceans 11 feel (putting together the team with special skills for a singular purpose) and you have a hugely appealing film. Like Major League that's based on a true story and smart. Seems like a goldmine to me.

Anonymous said...

Pitt is a movie star in looks only. Like Johnny Depp, he has mostly avoided the types of movies a movie star makes. Will Smith is a pure movie star and nothing much else. Adam Sandler is the same way. Pitt has the mindset of a character actor.

karaff said...

"That mindset is exactly the kind of thing fucking up movies these days. It's why Transformers gets made and Confederacy of Dunces does not."

Please, don't even speak of making Confederacy of Dunces into a film. It can't be done -- not in any way that could do justice to the book. The joy of that book is in discovering just how repulsive a character can be and still be lovable. And Ignatius Reilly is wonderfully repulsive and lovable. But he would never be a good on film -- the audience would hate him. In order to like him we need to be inside his head, and I don't think there's any way to do that in a film. Confederacy is book that needs to remain a book.

Anonymous said...

If anyone grabbed the Zaillian version before the link was pulled and could be bothered to send it: tonymosher@gmail.com -- I'd be much obliged!

Anonymous said...

Damn, it's too bad I missed the link! Being a *huge* baseball fan, I'd definitely be biased and want to see this film; almost every hardcore baseball fan knows all about Billy and thinks more people should. It's too bad Soderbergh messed it up. The delicate balance of writer's vision and director's vision.

And your comment box hates me btw

Anonymous said...

I'd also appreciate a copy of the Zaillian version if anyone has a copy they wouldn't mind sending. buzwa_07@yahoo.com

Anonymous said...

I feel bad for zaillian He's a great writer.To bad his script was butchered soderbergh

Anonymous said...

Link to Zaillian draft: http://www.sendspace.com/file/4tyg73

Carson Reeves said...

Archie, do you think that might've been Pascal's "official" reason? A strategic move to save face from having to say, "Your draft sucks"? If she indeed hated the draft and shut it down, she would have to come up with a political way to sell it to Soderbergh and Pitt so as to not permanently sever ties with them. Looking back on it, Soderbergh's draft would probably be cheaper to shoot - and last second scrambling to secure locations and such is par for the course in Hollywood. -- Soderbergh's draft was definitely way worse.

Anonymous said...

Cash Bailey needs to go back and review Pitt's stats. You're way off base. None of these remarks were intended as baseball puns. Honest.

Read Dave Poland's crunching of Pitt's money stats. He almost always guarantees a profit. And don't even go there with Jesse James.

I really appreciate the take on Soderbergh's revision. This is a shame because I read the Zaillian draft and thought it was great. I was actually laughing as I read it and got excited about it. I agree with you on all your points about the strengths it and why they were necessary to the story. The Zaillian script with some real life docu using real players added and even some animation of some of the history could have been amusing. But the original script had fun, sports stats, ESPN type talking heads, dramatic tension, interesting characters, some witty banter, sex, underdog story, naked Pitt. I can see selling points for lots of market groups.

Suggested alternate directors?

Anonymous said...

Having read and enjoyed the Zaillian draft some time ago, I have to admit to being shocked reading this story - the flashbacks are gone?!? The daughter-story is gone?! For me, it truly gives credence to the story that Pitt was the driving force behind leaving this project. If I was an actor, that's the stuff that I'd be interested in playing. With that gone, what's left? The movie swallows the character and if Pitt was producing this and that's NOT why he got interested in doing it, it's no wonder he left.

But Archie's point about shutting down due to the accounting certainly sounds more plausible despite Pitt's history of 11th hour pull-outs ("The Fountain," "State of Play," "Almost Famous," "Apollo 13," "The Departed," etc.).

bigdaddyjohn23 said...

A movie about the losers in sports. Billy Bean and Moneyball is a joke. He has not won a world series or retained any talent from Money Ball.

Awesome. The only thing Money Ball gave us was Mustache Giambi and his steroid inflated numbers in Oakland.

Archie said...

I have friends who have worked on this film at various stages and I know that Pitt liked the Zaillian draft. I believe he took a substantial paycut when he signed on. It's going to be interesting to see if in two weeks or so the movie is back up and running minus Soderbergh.

The movie at the moment it was shutdown was budgeted at 58 million dollars so for it to make a profit it would have to gross over 100 million dollars DOMESTICALLY. It is baseball after all. They’ve done the math and they must know that if they take the time and money to prep the Soderbergh script (after sinking 10 million into the Zaillian draft) they’re not even going to break even.

Behind the scenes at Moneyball replaced WME as the topic of choice last week. Did Soderbergh try to make a powerplay to hijack the project with his last minute script? Did he really want out of the project and hoped he’d get fired (or bought out and get enough cash to do an indie)?

Regardless of the quality of his script (I think TRASH should actually in this case be replaced with HUH?) Pascal wasn’t going to shoot it even if it was the baseball equivalent of Casablanca because no one likes to have the 58 million dollars they’ve budgeted and the project they’ve put together hijacked.

Ultimately, they want to keep Pitt so much that to make him happy Pascal put it into “limited” turnaround. Here, Brad, try to shop the script around but if you fail to find a taker come back and talk to us. I would imagine that the folks at Sony would know if anyone had 50 million dollars in credit floating around and the likelihood that Pitt would be forced to come back.

It’s all about money and power and when a good movie gets made it’s a miracle.

Carson Reeves said...

Wow, great insight Archie. Thank you.

Anonymous said...

Carson, what happened to the lengthy insider follow-up that was posted for all of like an hour?

Carson said...

Unfortunately that had to be taken down. There was no way for me to verify the source.

Jason said...

Carlson - You're comparing the Soderbergh June draft to the December draft. Compare it to the Zaillian May draft - these inaccuracies you point out don't seem to be in it.

Carson Reeves said...

Thanks Jason. Just addressed that.

Joe S. said...

This movie was always a weird idea that I thought might end up like Adaptation with the movie inside the movie inside the book.

I haven't read any of the scripts yet but I'd give Soderbergh a chance. I'd really like to see Linklater tackle it instead but he probably wouldn't be able to get Pitt or the money. Not that a remake of Bad News Bears is a true sports movie or that this movie is going to be full of sports action.

This isn't a sports book as it is a numbers book, a backroom General Manager politics book, the kind of thing that fans all across the country grumble about and would die to have a camera inside. Hopefully, it gets made.

Nice analysis.

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